Briefing Paper 17 – March 2018 Download Briefing Paper Michael Gasiorek Key points Setting the scene How might it be possible to square the circle? Route 1 Route 2 Ways forward? Key points The UK Government’s stated objectives include independence with regard to trade policy, regulatory policy and migration, as well as no hard border in Ireland. The latter is also a condition for the EU. In addition, the UK government seeks to maintain as much access to the Single Market as possible, while leaving the Single Market. These conditions cannot all be reconciled. All EU agreements are different and hence by definition bespoke. This will also be true of a future UK-EU agreement. The issues are over what is to be included and excluded, and how many of the above conditions the UK government will be forced to drop and/or relax. There is a real and manifest difference in the desirability of the UK remaining part of the current EU Customs Union, and signing a new comprehensive customs union with the EU. The latter option is far less desirable unless it has equivalent effect bilaterally. A key issue is the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland. Any [...]

Briefing Paper 1 – July 2016 Download Briefing paper Introduction UK Trade Policy Prior to Brexit What Happens on B-Day? Trade in Goods Applying an MFN Trade Regime on Goods Services Trade Services Trade with the EU Under the WTO General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) Services in EU FTA: The Case of Korea The UK’s Public Procurement and the WTO Government Procurement Agreement (GPA) Conclusions Further Information […]

Briefing Paper 3 – October 2016 Download Briefing Paper Peter Holmes Introduction The EEA and EU – Core Differences Rules of Origin Regulatory Union Relations with Third Countries Conclusion Background References Further Information […]

Briefing paper 4 – October 2016 Download Briefing Paper Erika Szyszczak & Emily Lydgate Introduction How Will the UK Trigger Article 50 TEU? When Will the UK Trigger Article 50 TEU? What Will the Article 50 TEU Withdrawal Agreement Consist of? Is Article 50 TEU Reversible? Conclusion Further Information […]

Briefing Paper 2 – September 2016 Download Briefing Paper Emily Lydgate, Jim Rollo & Rorden Wilkinson Summary Introduction The Nature of Trade Negotiations The Scale of the Negotiating Challenge for the UK Reducing the Negotiating Load Prioritizing Targets for Negotiation The WTO The EU Third-Country Negotiations: Setting Priorities Negotiating Resources Conclusion […]

Briefing Paper 5 – November 2016 Download Briefing Paper Michael Gasiorek, Peter Holmes and Jim Rollo Key Points Introduction What Agreement Would Respect the UK’s Red Lines? How do the Options Stack Up? So What is Really Feasible? Reflections on the Political Economy of a UK/EU-27 Agreement Timing and Transition Arrangements Can the Red Lines be Relaxed? If So, Which? Conclusion: is ‘Hard Brexit’ Inevitable? Glossary […]

Briefing paper 6 – November 2016 Download Briefing Paper Ingo Borchert Key Points Introduction An Overview of UK Services Trade Services Trade Policy Conclusion Glossary References Further Information […]

Briefing Paper 7 – January 2017 Download Briefing Paper Alan Swinbank Key Points Introduction Taxpayer Support for Agriculture Trade Policy and Agriculture Food Prices and Availability Conclusion Annex: Customs Unions, Free Trade Areas, Rules of Origin, and the Single Market References Further Information […]

Briefing Paper 9 – May 2017 Download Briefing Paper Kym Anderson and Glyn Wittwer Key Points Introduction Will Brexit Harm UK and Global Wine Markets? Wine in the UK, and the UK in Global Wine Markets The Economics of Leaving a Customs Union Modelling Global Wine Markets to 2025 How Might Wine Markets in 2025 be Affected by Brexit? Conclusion References Appendix Further Information […]

Briefing Paper 12 – November 2017 Download Briefing Paper Peter Holmes Summary The Current Challenge for Consumers Trade Impact: Low Prices Versus Threatened Jobs? Producer Interests: Anti-Dumping Regulatory Impacts Conclusion Further Information […]