Two years since the TCA came into force: What has happened to UK-EU trade?
10 February 2023
Guillermo Larbalestier is Research Assistant in International Trade at the University of Sussex and Fellow of the UKTPO. Nicolo Tamberi is Research Officer in Economics at the University of Sussex and Fellow of UKTPO.
Today, HMRC have released UK trade data for 2022, which we can use to assess UK-EU trade two years after the introduction of the UK-EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA). […]
The Effect of SDG-related Provisions in PTAs on SDGs
14 December 2022
Ruby Acquah and Mattia Di Ubaldo are Fellows of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Research Fellows in Economics at the University of Sussex Business School. This blog was originally published by Trade 4 Sustainable Development.
The Role of Non-trade Provisions in PTA’s in Attaining the SDGs.
Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs) are being increasingly used as a tool to pursue various non-trade policy objectives such as the protection of human rights and labour rights, the promotion of environmental sustainability, and combating climate change. […]
Is the golden age of Free Trade Agreements over?
7 December 2022
Emily Lydgate, Reader in Environmental Law at University of Sussex and Deputy Director of the UKTPO [1]
Figures from the World Trade Organization suggest that the negotiation of new Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) peaked in 2008, and has since declined.[2] Meanwhile, the Biden Administration has disavowed FTAs. The UK emerged post-Brexit as an enthusiastic advocate, responsible for much of the 2020 outlying peak in WTO FTA notifications. However, even in the UK, the Trade Secretary recently said: ‘I would like us to move away from the DIT being seen as the Department for Free Trade Agreements and back to the Department for International Trade.’
Having created a so-called spaghetti bowl of FTAs, are the wealthy countries that have driven most FTA negotiations[3] finally running out of noodles? […]
Briefing Paper 72 – PREFERENCE UTILISATION IN THE TCA: HOW ARE WE DOING?
This Briefing Paper compares the preference utilisation rates (PURs) of both the UK and EU imports under the Trade and Cooperation Agreement. PURs tell us the amount of eligible imports that come in tariff-free (that is, preference eligible in a free trade agreement, the extent to which preferences are being used) and allow for the evaluation of the effectiveness of a trade agreement. We find that the utilisation of preferential tariffs differs between the EU and the UK. EU exporters are utilising preferences more than UK exporters and UK exporters tend to use preferences more where the value of trade is larger. The Paper analyses the distribution of PURs across products and composition issues to identify reasons for low utilisation rates.
Read Briefing Paper 72: PREFERENCE UTILISATION IN THE TCA: HOW ARE WE DOING?
Briefing Paper 71 – IDENTIFYING SENSITIVE AND STRATEGIC SECTORS
Policy discussions about the effects and opportunities of international trade recognise that some parts of the economy might be more sensitive than others to changes in trade and/or trade policy, but the concept of a sensitive industry has different meanings. In our Briefing Paper, Identifying sensitive and strategic sectors, we aim to provide a conceptual framework for considering the factors that could identify industries that may be sensitive or strategic from a trade perspective; to review the range of information that can identify these factors; and to illustrate the ways in which this information can be usefully applied.
Accompanying the Briefing Paper is a spreadsheet file with the underlying indicators and some tools of analysis which we hope will be of use and interest to some readers. The spreadsheet also includes detailed information about data sources and any data adjustments made.
Read Briefing Paper 71: IDENTIFYING SENSITIVE AND STRATEGIC SECTORS
The EU’s proposed reforms to Trade and Sustainable Development chapters: a big change, or more of the same?
27 October 2022
Camille Vallier is a Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Research Fellow in Trade and Sustainable Law at the School of Law, Politics and Sociology, University of Sussex. This blog was originally published by Trade 4 Sustainable Development.
After having defended a sustainable development approach to trade based on cooperation and dialogue for the past decade, the European Union (EU) announced in June 2022 its intention to tighten its approach. The recent Communication “The power of trade partnership: together for green and just economic growth” presents the EU’s new strategy, which, among other measures, plans to extend the general state to state dispute settlement mechanism to the TSD chapter and to include the possibility of trade sanctions for non-compliance with certain provisions of the TSD chapter. These new measures have been adopted in response to a long-lasting observation that the current system does not enable a full and satisfying implementation and enforcement of sustainability provisions. […]
Is the world experiencing de-globalisation or just a geographical reorganisation of trade?
14 October 2022
Maria Savona is Professor of Economics of Innovation at the Science Policy Research Unit (SPRU) at the University of Sussex Business School and Full Professor at the Department of Finance and Economics at LUISS Business School in Rome. Filippo Bontadini is Assistant Professor in Applied Economics at LUISS and Associate Fellow at SPRU, University of Sussex. Valentina Meliciani is Professor of Applied Economics and Dean of the School of European Political Economy at LUISS. Ariel L. Wirkierman is Lecturer in Economics at Goldsmiths, University of London.
After the great recession of 2008-2009, the world economy seemed to enter a phase of de-globalisation or deceleration in globalisation. But, is this really the case? Are we actually just experiencing a reorganisation and regionalization of production and value chains? Are these trends similarly affecting Europe, Asia-Pacific and the Americas, or are there regionally distinctive trends? […]
Briefing Paper 70 – TRADE AND SECURITY: THE EU’S UNILATERAL APPROACH TO ECONOMIC STATECRAFT
In this Briefing Paper, we look at the European Commission’s recently proposed unilateral measures for European Union trade security. Taken together, the Foreign Subsidies Regulation and the Anti-Coercion Instrument are aimed at enabling the Commission to counteract the distortive impact of ‘third country’ subsidies on EU business competitiveness; as well as to investigate and retaliate against the perceived use of economic coercion by foreign governments against the EU, its Member States and firms. While such policies may be primarily targeted at China, they would de facto apply to all third countries including Russia, the US, and the UK. While both measures would give the Commission wide discretion in their application, the Anti-Coercion Instrument would specifically allow it to bypass the World Trade Organization dispute settlement process and possible wider international law commitments. We conclude that with continuing geopolitical uncertainty for the rules-based global trade environment – compounded by the Covid-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine – the EU treads a careful line between the development of a specialist trade policy and a piecemeal approach in respect of the overarching restraints of Member States, international law commitments and other stakeholders’ fundamental rights.
Read Briefing Paper 70: Trade and Security: The […]
Should trade policy be used to tackle forced labour?
16 September 2022
Erika Szyszczak is a Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Professor Emerita of Law at the University of Sussex.
On 23 February 2022, in a Communication on decent work worldwide, the EU announced a new legislative initiative tackling issues of sustainability and working conditions in global trade. [1] On the same day, the European Commission published a proposal for a Directive on corporate sustainability due diligence. […]
New Government, new trade policy?
12 September 2022
Michael Gasiorek is Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Co-Director of the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy. He is Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex Business School.
Once again, the UK has a new Prime Minister, a new cabinet, and thus a new Secretary of State for International Trade. This is the 4th Secretary of State for trade in five years! […]
